Anthropic measures what workers expect about job loss
The Economic Index report produced dated numbers: a tenth of respondents think losing their own job is likely, and over a third put the chance of a junior colleague losing theirs above 60 per cent.
Why it matters
Displacement expectations were measured among people who actually use the tools, and separately for themselves and for juniors - which are different numbers.
The report was published on 26 June 2026. The survey ran in April 2026, usage was linked from May to early June, and artifact analysis covers 10 April to 10 June. The share of personal conversations rises from around 35 per cent on weekdays to just under 50 per cent at weekends. Delegation differs sharply by interface: the median chat conversation producing a blog post involves 13 rounds of back and forth, while the median Claude Code session producing one contains a single human prompt. Ten per cent of respondents rated losing their own job as likely or very likely; over a third say the probability of a junior colleague losing their job within a year is above 60 per cent; over a third expect AI to do most or nearly all of their work tasks within twelve months. The sample is skewed: Computer and Mathematical occupations make up roughly 30 per cent of respondents against a 4 per cent share of US employment.